Italian Finance Minister: GDP will increase by 0.7% in 2024.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The Canadian dollar fell to 1.4210, the lowest since April 2020.
USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.Zhuhai Guanyu: It was selected as the designated supplier of low-voltage lithium batteries for its 12V cars after being notified by domestic car companies. Zhuhai Guanyu announced that the company was recently notified by a domestic car company and was selected as the designated supplier of low-voltage lithium batteries for its 12V cars. This appointment will help to enhance the company's competitiveness and sustainable development ability in this field, and lay the foundation for future market share enhancement. At present, the company has been recognized by many well-known car companies, such as SAIC, Zhiji, Jaguar Land Rover, Stellantis, GM, etc., and has obtained a number of vehicle project designation letters. However, the fixed-point notice is not the final supply agreement, and the project needs to go through many links from fixed-point to mass production, so it is uncertain whether the order can be obtained in the end.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)
USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.South Korean prosecutors arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. On December 13, local time, South Korean prosecutors urgently arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. (CCTV News)Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)